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Scary 8

I don't know how many of you have been following the discussion on "devaluation vs not" in the blogosphere.

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Here is the latest addition from Edward Hughes. It's quite long and, as he says himself, "not for the faint of heart". However, it's quite worth the time.

I think the evidence so far is with Edward on what I see is his major point. After less than two months into real adjustment, the ruling coalition in the Parliament is unravelling...

Also, isn't it striking that all the serious discussion about Latvia's economy is actually happening between people from the West? Or, have I missed a decent treatment on the issues from someone in Latvia?

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Komentāri (8) secība: augoša / dilstoša

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GUDRAIS 14.02.2009 22:31 http://www.burzs.com/edit/arg.php?id=41080

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Ingrida 03.02.2009 21:24
Over the past months, it has been bizarre to read both LV and non-LV blogs on the economy...you could be reading about two different planets. I blame the Security Police for effectively stifling discussion here. There are a few rays of hope in the past few days, see Jānis Ošlejs' thoughtful post, which borrows heavily from Hugh: http://www.delfi.lv/news/comment/comment/article.php?id=2311... also Štokenbergs' post, which borrows (copies?) from Ošlejs: http://www.diena.lv/lat/politics/blog/aigars_shtokenbergs/va...

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Juris Kaža 03.02.2009 11:39
Unfortunately, it looks like the whole thing will, to translate a Latvian expression, "go to the devil's mother." That is, a political "bardak", a forced devaluation in the near future, followed by economic collapse and Latvia as a failed state. The chances of this are higher by the day.

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Econ 03.02.2009 00:17
...might be of use when dealing with other cases as well :)

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Econ 03.02.2009 00:16
It is neither scary nor funny - it's the reality and having seen what the discussions looks like when Latvian experts meet the Commission I do not have high expectations as regards this.

To gatis:
May be You should try to look at it from another perspective - it is the Post-Soviet economic school and it is widely spread in some more East-European countries, Latvia is not the only one but it is surely a tough case. Therefore may be it is worth at looking what are the fundamentals of the Post-Soviet economic school - might be of use by dealing with other cases as well :)

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money masters 02.02.2009 17:54
You have to see who owns the Press in Latvia and what interests they have to understand the silence. All has been arranged so no reason to talk about it. Diena with their Swedish owners will certainly not.
NORMU NDS-roms.us

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gatis 02.02.2009 15:21
indeed, as someone who's been involved in international assistance negotiations from the commission side, i can tell you we are not looking forward to the local political games heating up again, this may surely derail the whole programme.
have not yet read this piece from mr highes, but judging from other postings - he's definitely worth the time. i agree, very little in-depth, intellectually-enriching commenting from the side of latvian experts.

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arnolds 02.02.2009 12:21
It's actually so absurd, that it's becomming funny:)

My granny used to tell me that to solve a problem you have to understand it's causes:) i.e. if you don't want to whipped again you have to figure out what you shouldn't do in the future. And I also have not seen an important discussion about why we are in a possition we are in(except yours and MR. Slesers:) so i conclude that my granny was right also on the point that she's the smartest person in the world:) So, yeah, situation is quite absurd.

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